Find out how all this works in our. Ballotpedia's 2022 state primary election competitiveness data analyzes all state legislative, state executive, and congressional elections that took place in 2022. Each partys seat count in scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations. Colorado. The map and table below show the U.S. House races without major opposition in 2022 and the party that won each seat. Edited by Kyle Kondik, J. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. The table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the 2022 election cycle. Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) called for the state legislative primary to be held on August 2, 2022 (the primary was originally scheduled for May 3, 2022). This is not surprising given the much smaller number of Senate seats contested in each election and the larger potential impact of local factors such as candidate quality and fundraising. The following table displays members listed as "On the Radar" in the NRCC's Young Guns program for the 2022 election cycle. As with the House, the margin of control in the next Senate is likely to be very narrow. Hover over a district for more information. These results indicate that one should interpret the models predictions for Senate seat swing cautiously as relatively large errors are not uncommon. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle: Redistricting is the process of drawing new congressional and state legislative district boundaries. Four of the delegates filed to run for re-election. 50. Hover over or tap a district to view the incumbent's name. Democrats held 30 of those districts, Republicans held seven, and two were newly created districts after the 2020 census. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Gluesenkamp defeated Kent in the general election. Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj All rights reserved. The current breakdown of the House (allocating vacant seats to the party that last won them) is 222 Democrats and 213 Republicans. President Biden's approval numbers posted every weekday, Assessing the Impact of Absentee Voting on Turnout and Democratic Vote Margin in 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz, Comparing National Polls in 2016 and 2020 By Alan I. Abramowitz, Medicare for All a Vote Loser in 2018 U.S. House Elections By Alan I. Abramowitz, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year, Not Woke Yet? [40][41], On February 10, 2021, the NRCC released an initial list of 47 House Democrats whose districts it would target in the 2022 elections. 2024 House Interactive Map 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2022 House Polls 2022 House Simulation View Your 2022 District 2022 House Retirements 2022 House Election Results. The larger the presidential partys deficit on the generic ballot and the more seats it is defending, the more seats it tends to lose. The closer fit of the data points to the prediction line in the House data is very clear from these figures. CORPUS CHRISTI, Texas Voters will decide Tuesday who they want to represent their party for Texas 27th Congressional District. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Last updated Nov. 8, 2022, 2:08 p.m. PST Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter Election Day arrived with 217 seats in the "Solid," "Likely" or "Lean Republican" category putting. "[63][64][65], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. [53][54], The following table displays candidates who qualified as Young Guns for the 2022 election cycle. This article summarizes congressional and state legislative actions in each state in the 2020 cycle. Election Date: Nov. 8, 2022 | Updated 7:00 PM EST Dec. 23, 2022. A recent Quinnipiac poll gave Democrats a nine-point lead on the generic ballot. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin's battleground seat got slightly easier in redistricting, but the GOP thinks it can oust her with a national tailwind. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Apportionment is the process whereby the 435 districts in the U.S. House of Representatives are allotted to the states on the basis of population. There were 30 U.S. House Democratic battleground primaries in 2022. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. Premier Franois Legault and his Coalition Avenir Qubec are certain to win the next provincial election. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable. To learn more about congressional non-voting members in the U.S. House of Representatives, click here. His latest book,The Great Alignment: Race, Party Transformation, and the Rise of Donald Trump, was released in 2018 by Yale University Press. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data. Glenn Youngkin flipped the following fall. What Election Day looks like based on polls alone, What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more, What Election Day looks like when we add experts ratings to the Classic forecast. [42] As of June 9, 2022, the NRCC listed 75 districts on its target district list. The generic congressional vote question does not mention specific candidates. Click here to learn more about how Ballotpedia defines and calculates competitiveness figures. The generic ballot provides a measure of the national political environment at the time of the midterm election while the number of seats defended by the presidents party provides a measure of exposure to risk. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Senate Projection. All 435 U.S. House seats are up for election this year. These boundaries will be in effect through 2022. We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. The final2022 House ratings from Politico. Apply today! The Senate, of course, is split down the middle with Democrats in the majority by virtue of holding the tie-breaking vote in the person of Vice President Kamala Harris. Each square represents an instance where Democrats or Republicans get that much of the popular vote and that many seats. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Ballotpedia identified 33 of the 435 House races (8.5%) as battlegrounds. TheCurrent Houseview on the map shows incumbent members in their current districts. The candidate of Labour Party, Thaddeus Attah, has been declared the winner of the Eti-Osa Federal Constituency seat in the House of Representatives. [14] One district Indiana's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[15]. A federal district court, in striking down the state's congressional redistricting plan, postponed the deadline for candidates qualifying by petition in lieu of paying the filing fee from June 22, 2022, to July 8, 2022. From Wikimedia Commons, the free media repository. Considered the weaker side, a $100 bet on the Democrats would yield a profit of $225 in the case of an upset. Because of the large impact of seat exposure in Senate elections, even a small advantage on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the upper chamber. [58] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight. As a result of the elections, Republicans gained a 222-213 majority.[1]. There are three tiers of the program, with each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals in order to qualify. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. [1] Joe Kent defeated Herrera Beutler in the primary. Senate, House, and Governor Election results also available at ABCNews.com The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. Welcome to 338Canada Quebec! GOP Rep. Don Bacons race is one to watch. WINNER Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to. Comments about this content should be directed to the author or syndicate. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 House forecast. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. Gibbs defeated Meijer in the primary. Looking for the national forecast? Quebec Election 2022 Date: October 3rd, 2022. Rep. Jackie Walorski (R) died in a car accident on August 3, 2022. The charts below show primary competitiveness statistics for the U.S. House from 2014 to 2022. 100% remote. The original filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r